In 2016, Only 4 out of 30 Million Uninsured Will Pay Obamacare Fine/Penalty/Tax

June 5th, 2014

It isn’t proper. With this many exemptions, it may not even be necessary.

Congressional budget scorekeepers estimated Thursday that only a fraction of the people without health insurance in 2016 will actually pay a penalty under ObamaCare’s individual mandate.

In a new analysis, the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) said only 4 million of the 30 million who are expected to be uninsured in 2016 will pay a fine.

The number is a lower estimate than in 2012, before the administration added exemptions to the mandate. The CBO previously estimated that 6 million people would pay a fine.  

All told, the government is projected to collect $4 billion from individual mandate penalties in 2016, followed by $5 billion every year through 2024, according to the CBO. 

A total of 23 million uninsured people will fall under the mandate’s hardship and other exemptions. 

The analysis accounted for people who will try to dodge the penalty, as well as the ability of the Internal Revenue Services to enforce it.