We accurately predicted the outcomes in Fisher, Mutual, Kebodeaux, Nassar, and Vance, though the specific breakdown in Fisher was not foreseen. Out of 454 votes, only 34 (7%) predicted J. Sotomayor would reverse. Breyer was at 13.6% to reverse.
Here are the highlights of the remaining cases.
- Hollingsworth v. Perry – Do Petitioners Have Standing? – 68.5% Affirm (Yes, there is standing)
- Hollingsworth v. Perry – Does Prop 8 Violate the Equal Protection Clause? – 72.63% Affirm (Yes, it is unconstitutional)
- Shelby County v. Holder – 51.38% Reverse, 48.62% Affirm – This one is way too close to call.
- United States v. Windsor – Does Counsel for House of Representatives have Standing? 78% Affirm (Yes, there is standing)
- United States v. Windsor – Does DOMA violation the Equal Protection Component of the 5th Amendment or Federalism Principles? – 83.6% Affirm (Yes, it is unconstitutional)
- United States v. Windsor – Does SG’s agreement with 2nd Circuit deprive SCOTUS of jurisdiction – 78.6% Affirm (No, SCOTUS has jurisdiction)
- Adoptive Couple v. Baby Girl – 62.37% Affirm, 36.48% Reverse
- Koontz v. St. Johns River Water Management District – 73.86%Affirm, 26.14% Reverse
- Sekhar v. U.S. – 58.54% Affirm, 41.46% Reverse