Apes(hit) for Apps: Ape Fortas Predicting Supreme Court Cases On an iPad?

February 1st, 2013

In an article about FantasySCOTUS I co-authored, I updated the image of monkeys on a typewriter with apes on an iPad to illustrate the concept of randomness in selections, with a fictional primate named Ape Fortas.

Our methodologies also prevent a statistical “quasi-miracle,”95 whereby users could randomly predict all of the cases accurately. Assume an infinite number of monkeys were stationed at FantasySCOTUS iPads, randomly making predictions,96 and obtained a perfect score. A single primate, let’s call him Ape Fortas, would need to correctly predict each and every case. The odds of Ape Fortas accomplishing this task are infinitesimally small.97 Even 5,000 (the number of FantasySCOTUS players) apes mashing away on five-thousand monkey-friendly iPads would not increase the odds of any one player predicting all of the cases correctly. This small sample size is not even close to the same

Well, it looks like the primates are already moving onto using iPads. These Apes are playing with apps.  It’s only a matter of time before they learn to play FantasySCOTUS!

[youtube http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZsSIKj5ULp4]

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