The end of the October 2010 Supreme Court Term is almost here. Here are the FantasySCOTUS Prediction Tracker picks for the remaining 14 cases. I divided the cases into two categories: first, the cases where we are virtually certainty of the outcome (at a 99% confidence level); second, the cases where we are not certain of the outcome. If you are interested in learning more about FantasySCOTUS as a prediction market, please take a look at an essay I co-authored. I will compare these predictions to Tom Goldstein’s predictions at SCOTUSBlog in tomorrow’s Supreme Court Insider.

Confident

	FantasySCOTUS	Certainty
Brown v. EMA	Affirm	Yes at 99% (83%+/-4.52)
Wal-Mart v. Dukes	Reverse	Yes at 99% (75%+/-12.3)
Az Free Enterprise/McComish v. Bennett	Reverse	Yes at 99% (72%+/-14)
CSX v. McBride	Affirm	Yes at 99% (85%+/-17.3)
Sorrell v. IMS	Affirm	Yes at 99% (77%+/-18.3)
Am. Elec. Power Co. v. Conn.	Reverse	Yes at 99% (70%+/-18.4)
Goodyear v. Brown	Reverse	Yes at 99% (66%+/-12.1)

Not Confident

	FantasySCOTUS	Certainty
Stern v. Marshall	Affirm	No (52% +/-12.1 for 90%)
Freeman v. US	Reverse	No (52%+/-11.6 for 90%)
Duryea v. Guarnieri	Affirm	No (53%+/-14 for 90%)
Turner v. Rogers	Reverse	No (56%+/-14 for 90%)
Bullcoming v. New Mexico	Reverse	No (57%+/-9.53 for 90%)
McIntyre v. Nicastro	Affirm	No (55%+/-8.35 for 90%)