It’s Kagan! And Accurately Predicted the Nomination.

May 9th, 2010

Over the past month, invited our nearly 5,000 members–who represent some of the closest and most ardent Court watchers–to weigh in on the vacancy, rank the candidates on the short list, and give their views on the potential nominees.

And over the course of four posts, we combed through the numbers in great detail.

With over 51% of the members predicting the former Harvard Dean and current Solicitor General, our final prediction was Elena Kagan FTW! And low and behold, Kagan was the pick.

Pooling together the wisdom of the crowds often yields more accurate predictions than those of self-described pundits, savants, and oracles. This exercise is a perfect example of this phenomenon. FantasySCOTUS FTW!